Flávio Bolsonaro wins Brazil's first round
Senator Flávio Bolsonaro won Brazil's first-round presidential vote Sunday, 47% to President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's 45.2% — a shock overperformance against the final polls, which had Lula ahead (Datafolha: 42 to 38). Since 1989, every first-round winner has gone on to win the runoff; the right also swept the Senate and state races on the night.
The two now face off October 25. The campaign was dominated by corruption scandals, economic anxiety, and accusations of US meddling — Flávio Bolsonaro has cultivated a close relationship with Donald Trump, while Lula has warned of foreign interference. Early counting had shown Bolsonaro near 48% with Lula at 44%, with Lula's northeastern stronghold reporting late.
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